86% Accuracy Rate In Tech Predictions
Ray Kurzweil has a documented 86% accuracy rate in his technological predictions.
China... Next Tech Superpower
My recent trip to Beijing and Shanghai has me convinced me China is the next technological superpower.
Inflection Point – When It All Explodes
The earliest Internet was built by the military, designed to help scientists around the nation gain access to those rare room-sized computers located at MIT, Stanford and a few key institutions. Use of the early ARPAnet was slow, cumbersome and awkward – that is, until Marc Andreessen created Mosaic, the first widely accessible Internet browser. When Mosaic launched in 1993, there were only 26[…]
Lesson From Kodak – The Price of Linear Thinking
Our brains are literally hardwired to think locally and linearly. As such, it’s nearly impossible for us to fathom the implications of exponential change. Exponential technologies are a tsunami of change... and you can either surf on top of them or be crushed by them. Kodak was crushed.