It’s sad that the U.S. government doesn’t fund risky research anymore.
After all, “the day before something is truly a breakthrough, it’s a crazy idea"… and if you’re not funding crazy ideas, you’re stuck with linear (incremental) thinking.
This blog is about why YOU as an entrepreneur (or ‘exponential CEO’) are going to be solving our problems, as opposed to waiting for the government.
Why government R&D funding is declining, why that’s a bad thing, and how innovative entrepreneurs are now responsible for keeping the U.S. on the cutting edge.
Historically, government funding accelerated some of the most important technologies on which our entire global infrastructure now heavily relies: The microchip, GPS, wind energy, cancer therapies, touch screens, the Internet…
Even Google probably wouldn’t be around had it not been for government funding. In 1994, NSF, DARPA and NASA funded the Digital Library Initiative to index and sort through the growing number of websites coming online.
One of the six grants from the Digital Library Initiative went to two graduate students at Stanford – Larry Page and Sergey Brin – who would later commercialize their research and call it "Google.”
But the government doesn’t fund crazy ideas anymore…
In fact, as the data from a recent NIH Report shows, the more innovative a concept, the less funding it receives.
Figure-1: NIH evaluation score vs. proposal novelty
Why does this happen?
Governments (and large corporations) have a tremendous fear of (public) failure, which leads to congressional investigations or lower stock prices. And, as my friend Chris Lewicki says, “When failure is not an option, success gets really expensive!”
Here’s one of my favorite stories. Did you know that that the $2.5 billion Curiosity Rover (which landed on Mars in 2011) is running a PowerPC processor that was built in 1993?
Because NASA knows it works, and they don’t “want to take a risk” with a newer processor that is unproven.
Even stranger, guess what processor the next mission “Mars Rover 2020” will use when it touches down on the surface of Mars in 2021?
Yup, you guessed it, a 1993 vintage PowerPC.
At the same time that the government is getting more and more risk averse, the total amount of federal R&D dollars continue to shrink (as a percentage of the federal budget) by more than 60% over the past 50 years.
Figure-2: Federal R&D as % of total Federal Budget
It really is a sad state of affairs.
What’s going to keep the U.S. on the innovation cutting edge?
Today’s entrepreneurs have access to technologies once only available to governments and the largest corporations: the world’s information on Google, massive computation power on AWS, access to capital and expertise from the crowd, etc.
At the same time that entrepreneur reach has increased, the cost of launching an Internet technology startup has plummeted 1,000-fold over the past 15 years.
Figure-3: Cost of launching an Internet Tech Startup
With this democratization of entrepreneurship, we’ve seen a dramatic rise in the number of startups created and concordantly, the number of innovative solutions to problems that we’ve been unable to solve (or even think about) until now.
And rather than shrinking (as we’ve seen in government R&D funding), private sector funding has steadily increased more than six-fold over the past 80+ years.
Companies like Google, SpaceX, IBM, Facebook, Qualcomm and countless of global startups are moving the needle forward by developing technology that solves key problems. After all, the world’s biggest problems are the world’s biggest business opportunities.
As the Kauffman Foundation reported a few years ago, “New businesses (i.e. startups) account for nearly all net new job creation and almost 20 percent of gross job creation.”
If we can continue to incentivize and support entrepreneurs to devote their time to solving the world’s biggest problems, we will see enormous economic upside in the long run.
Bottom line: If you’re looking to make a difference in the world. You can vote, politic, fund campaigns, write grants… or you can start a company and build technology.
Also read: TOP 50 MOON SHOTS (2000 - 2020)
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